Housing starts in Hamilton Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) were
trending at 2,475 units in November compared to 2,499 units in October,
according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). The trend is a six
month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR)(1)
of housing starts.
"The trend in Hamilton CMA total housing starts was
practically unchanged in November 2013 compared to the previous month. This
November marked the highest number of apartment starts in the City of Hamilton
since January 2013. The pace in residential construction during the past two
months has been signalling a
stable housing market in Hamilton," said Abdul
Kargbo, CMHC's Senior Market Analyst for Hamilton and Brantford CMAs.
CMHC uses the trend measure as a complement to the monthly SAAR of
housing starts to account for considerable swings in monthly estimates and
obtain a more complete picture of the state of the housing market. In some
situations, analysing only SAAR data can be misleading in some markets, as they
are largely driven by the multiples segment of the markets which can be quite
variable from one month to the next. The multiples segment includes apartments,
rows and semi-detached homes.
The standalone monthly SAAR was 2,728 units
in November, up from 2,038 units in October.
As Canada's national housing agency, CMHC draws on more than 65
years of experience to help Canadians access a variety of quality,
environmentally sustainable and affordable housing solutions. CMHC also provides
reliable, impartial and up-to-date housing market reports, analysis and
knowledge to support and assist consumers and the housing industry in making
informed decisions.
(1) All starts figures in this release, other than actual starts
and the trend estimate, are seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) - that is,
monthly figures adjusted to remove normal seasonal variation and multiplied by
12 to reflect annual levels. By removing seasonal ups and downs, seasonal
adjustment allows for a comparison from one season to the next and from one
month to the next. Reporting monthly figures at annual rates indicates the
annual level of starts that would be obtained if the monthly pace was maintained
for 12 months. This facilitates comparison of the current pace of activity to
annual forecasts as well as to historical annual levels.
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